Lesson from the war. The world as a hostage of the financial system.
One positive aspect of the war between Russia and Ukraine is that almost the whole world reacted as one against the agressor. What would have happened if the world reacted like that immediately when Hitler invaded Poland or Belgium? Perhaps WWII would have been avoided or restricted to amore local war? The sanctions are from companies , institutions and mainly the financial tycoons e.g. banks. Even when Russia obtains its goals temporarily those sanctions will continue and reshape the political and economical world long afterwards, leaving Russia as a paria amongst the nations. Again a comparison, but now with the situation after WWI, any punishment if being too strong or too long lasting will create deep frustration and a growing feeling of hate and the wish for revenge. The punished will almost always view the punishment as an injustice and that reaction is more deep when the punishment is very severe. In fact a very sustained and growing punishment will lead either to new aggression or to the destruction of the punished. By now it should be clear to the Russians and perhaps even to Putin that this war was a bad move, when the arms will stop talking soon it will be time for diplomacy to start talking again. That may be a possibility for gradually returning to “normal” and even for the start of a better world-wide system of cooperation where eventually every nation can be involved. Perhaps one can even imagine the disbanding of NATO into a global treaty under the UN. But the actual manipulators of the world economy may have other plans, why not the destruction of Russia as a world power? Now one cannot say Russia is a communistic state, even China is already a hybrid political construction and only North-Korea seems to fit the old-style communist system.
Every crisis present opportunities for future developments. Yes but also for future bigger crises , the best example is the degeneration of WWI into WWII.
What is very clear in the sanctions against Russia is that the economy is now the highest power source but also that the financial leaders , tycoons, banks, oligarchs, the IMF,…, are talking the real power.
Of course this was already clear in the evolution of the capitalistic system for decades, the fact that 1% of the world owns 99% of its riches is the proof of the pudding. But now something else transpires. The world, population is hostage to those financial constructions. People’s happiness depends on salaries and thus on jobs, the goods you buy determine your success and happiness. That is obvious at the essential level of food, housing, energy, but in modern times there is also an addiction to luxury, gadgets, entertainment of all kinds from TV to travelling on vacations. The actions of the financial world now sheered by so many people everywhere seem to have a very dark edge, at least I see it like that. Any group of people in the world can be made the target of economical sanctions, not only if they start a local war — which would be acceptable to most others — but also for lesser claimed evils, even for just protesting certain actions of the unknown “leaders”. That is always a useful strategy, just look at BLM protesters in the US or The anti-war protest in Russia just now. The globalised actions of controlling ‘unwanted’ activity would obviously kill democracy in an invisible way, it is not the people deciding the punishment, it is everybody paying for it …except the hidden punishers.
Nobody wants to lose the means of living a normal, comfortable, life so everybody is hostage to the system providing you the bread! You do not believe the system will act like that? Just look at countries making the Covid-vaccination obligatory while using a Covid-safe ticket freeing the vaccinated from the Covid-prison without any mentioning or understanding about the duration of the vaccination protection (5 or 6 month). People lose their jobs if they are not vaccinated , even if they are naturally immune! Many vaccinated were supporting those laws! Those who fear the most or the real hostages of the regulating system. Thus when the war stops the punishment of Russia can go on a while but very soon the diplomatic discussions have to restart and it would be best to start developing the idea of the world security system, a WTO, replacing all competing systems including NATO. This means probably another role for the UN, doing away with the veto rights and making it a real democratic institution. If the world really wants peace it should be organised by the world and not by some militarised treaty organisations. Mean while people perhaps should not willingly be hostages of the capital and that means politicians should liberate themselves from their slavery to financial sponsors, business influences — thus they should not be active in business outside their political function — and even latent corruption driven by greed or amorality.
History develops in strange ways, always a threatening crisis with at least two ways out. This time let us take the “good” human way out, it could be the greatest opportunity for human civilization.